Manto: A Depression Risk Calculator

The Manto Depression Risk Calculator can estimate a person’s risk for developing depression in the next two years. Answer a few questions about current symptoms of depression and some other life functions and you will receive an estimate of your individual risk score. The information collected by the test is anonymous and cannot be traced back to any person.

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How was the Manto Depression Risk Calculator developed?

The Manto Depression Risk Calculator was developed for adults 55 years or older and is suitable for use by individuals who want to know the risk for developing depression in the coming two years. The calculator was based on the Manto study, which used data on 39,439 individuals part of the SHARE European dataset and has satisfactory predictive ability (AUC: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.79 - 0.82; Sensitivity: 84.3%; Specificity: 58.4%).

Online risk prediction calculators are not diagnostic instruments. If your risk score is high, share your results with a healthcare provider and be aware that depression can be both prevented and successfully treated. The authors of Manto Calculator, the University of Ferrara, the University of Bologna, the Karolinska Institute, and the Weill Medical College of Cornell University disclaim any liability for loss, or risk incurred as a direct or indirect consequence of the use of the Manto Calculator.

The Manto Depression Risk Calculator is based on the study:

Belvederi Murri M, Cattelani L, Chesani F, Palumbo P, Triolo F, Alexopoulos GS.
Risk Prediction Models for Depression in Community-Dwelling Older Adults.
Am J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2022 Sep;30(9):949-960.
doi: 10.1016/j.jagp.2022.05.017.
PMID: 35821215
Publisher's website:
Download the study: Study, Supplementary Data


In Greek mythology, Manto was a sibyl oracle, daughter of the blind oracle Tiresias. She fled Thebes and founded the Italian city of Mantua and created Mantua’s lake with her tears.